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The Stockdale Paradox

2005
07.26

Stephen Shields posted an excellent article on “The Stockdale Paradox“:

In a nutshell the Stockdale Paradox marries a hard look at the cold realities of the current situation with an absolute commitment that all will work out well in the long run. Stockdale said that the folks that died in POW camp were not those who said, “We’ll get out by Christmas” but rather those who said, “We’ll get out but I have no clue when.”

One might consider Stockdale to be some kind of overly energetic motivational speaker, but consider this:

During the Vietnam War, [James] Stockdale was a Navy fighter pilot based on the USS Oriskany and flew 201 missions before he was shot down on Sept. 9, 1965. He became the highest-ranking naval officer captured during the war, the Navy said.

Stockdale was taken to Hoa Lo Prison, known as the “Hanoi Hilton.” His shoulders were wrenched from their sockets, his leg had been shattered by angry villagers and a torturer, and his back was broken. But he refused to capitulate.

Rather than allow himself to be used in a propaganda film, Stockdale smashed his face into a pulp with a mahogany stool.

“My only hope was to disfigure myself,” Stockdale wrote in his 1984 autobiography “In Love and War.” The ploy worked, but he spent the next two years in leg irons.

After Ho Chi Minh’s death, he broke a glass pane in an interrogation room and slashed his wrists until he passed out in his own blood. After that, captors relented in their harsh treatment of him and his fellow prisoners.

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